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Red117
497319.3
550741.9
11437.5
Blue116
766731.8
650614.8
325643.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9477050150200117116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+3Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
21Coral scored#16
74Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
88Total teleop84
Reef
10L4#4
4L3#6
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points2
117Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#13
41.92.4
31.834.2
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.0
blue by 1.2
43.11.9
33.835.7
Auto8.3
Teleop28.7
End6.1
Second
114
#11
37.51.4
31.933.3
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
red by 5.7
7667
#15
31.83.1
27.931.0
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End1.6
Third
4973
#38
19.32.4
18.220.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
red by 4.5
6506
#41
14.81.9
9.611.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned