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Red78
592423.7
1028122.1
801629.5
Blue154
84041.4
543011.9
603660.6
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57120010015020078154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+66
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +45
10Coral scored#21
35Coral points76
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
6Processor points18
24Net points16
30Algae points34
65Total teleop110
Reef
4L4#10
2L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points0
78Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8016
#28
29.50.8
22.223.1
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8
blue by 31.2
60.62.8
51.053.8
Auto18.1
Teleop41.5
End1.0
Second
5924
#17
23.70.5
16.617.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End4.3
blue by 17.7
840
#3
41.42.8
39.342.0
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
Third
22.10.8
20.421.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End2.6
red by 10.2
5430
#36
11.94.6
11.015.6
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned