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Red79
84134.0
11437.5
572814.6
Blue70
425522.1
84639.8
497319.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939470758085901001051107970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
59Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#2
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
79Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#11
37.50.1
33.333.2
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
blue by 2.3
846
#10
39.80.8
33.733.0
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End1.7
Second
841
#24
34.00.2
30.530.3
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
red by 11.9
4255
#35
22.11.3
24.423.1
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Third
5728
#23
14.60.2
13.913.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.0
blue by 4.7
4973
#38
19.31.3
20.619.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed