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Qual 472025 San Francisco Regional
Red93
572814.6
801629.5
325643.1
Blue146
885246.5
763632.3
903840.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811205010015020093146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+26
Teleop+73
Endgame+71
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +26
9Leave6
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points29
9Total auto35
TeleoperatedBlue +47
11Coral scored#20
38Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
62Total teleop109
Reef
4L4#11
3L3#7
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
18Foul points0
93Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#8
43.10.2
38.7→38.5
Auto8.3
Teleop28.7
End6.1
blue by 3.4
8852
#7
46.54.4
40.4→44.8
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End1.8
Second
8016
#28
29.50.3
23.1→22.7
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8
blue by 10.7
9038
#16
40.14.4
35.8→40.2
Auto12.7
Teleop25.9
End1.5
Third
5728
#23
14.60.3
13.7→13.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.0
blue by 17.7
7636
#9
32.32.7
26.8→29.5
Auto6.0
Teleop24.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned