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Red132
84134.0
397057.8
592423.7
Blue122
510434.2
490425.3
570027.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107874060120140160180200132122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
19Coral scored#14
69Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
93Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
132Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.82.5
44.647.1
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
red by 23.6
5104
#12
34.22.3
31.834.1
Auto6.9
Teleop20.6
End6.7
Second
841
#24
34.04.2
30.334.6
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
red by 6.2
5700
#26
27.82.3
26.128.5
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
5924
#17
23.72.5
19.021.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End4.3
blue by 1.6
4904
#14
25.32.3
23.225.5
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned