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Red106
84134.0
1039016.3
885246.5
Blue158
550741.9
490425.3
603660.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7295050150200106158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+50
Endgame+50
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
2Coral scored#9
10Coral points44
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +22
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points58
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
12Processor points18
16Net points32
28Algae points50
86Total teleop108
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points2
106Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.53.2
24.327.5
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End1.8
blue by 14.1
60.65.3
39.044.3
Auto18.1
Teleop41.5
End1.0
Second
841
#24
34.03.2
29.833.0
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
blue by 7.9
5507
#13
41.97.2
27.835.0
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.0
Third
16.32.1
11.813.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End4.1
blue by 9.0
4904
#14
25.34.3
15.619.9
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed