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Qual 62025 San Francisco Regional
Red37
476534.6
682215.1
497319.3
Blue80
801629.5
758921.0
1006412.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6772204060801001203780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +34
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
18Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
8Foul points18
37Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4765
#21
34.63.6
22.9→19.3
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8
red by 5.1
8016
#28
29.50.5
20.4→20.9
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8
Second
4973
#38
19.33.6
18.6→15.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
blue by 1.7
7589
#33
21.00.3
23.8→24.1
Auto3.0
Teleop17.0
End1.1
Third
6822
#40
15.13.6
16.5→13.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
red by 2.7
10064
#30
12.30.4
11.0→11.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed