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Red143
128014.6
5940100.5
1039016.3
Blue50
145823.0
543011.9
88408.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15255010020025014350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+77Teleop
+89Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points3
27Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +56
16Coral scored#7
56Coral points26
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
18Processor points0
20Net points12
38Algae points12
94Total teleop38
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
6Foul points2
143Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.50.5
92.893.3
Auto24.9
Teleop65.7
End10.0
red by 77.5
1458
#19
23.01.1
27.025.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Second
16.30.5
15.015.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End4.1
red by 4.4
5430
#36
11.91.7
14.612.9
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Third
1280
#27
14.60.5
10.811.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.1
red by 6.0
8840
#37
8.61.7
14.112.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed