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Red103
1006412.3
476534.6
84041.4
Blue80
497319.3
415941.0
572814.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97882040608012014016018010380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+11Teleop
+25Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#12
38Coral points42
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
18Processor points0
16Net points12
34Algae points12
72Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#17
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points8
103Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#3
41.40.6
39.940.5
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
red by 0.5
41.00.5
40.840.3
Auto10.4
Teleop28.0
End2.6
Second
4765
#21
34.60.9
29.530.4
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8
red by 15.3
4973
#38
19.30.8
20.619.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Third
12.30.6
12.913.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 2.3
5728
#23
14.60.8
13.312.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed