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Qual 522025 San Francisco Regional
Red121
763632.3
592423.7
490425.3
Blue122
682215.1
803367.6
84639.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78138050100150200121122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points28
13Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +12
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
62Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#7
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
42Foul points0
121Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7636
#9
32.30.2
29.5→29.3
Auto6.0
Teleop24.5
End1.7
blue by 35.3
8033
#2
67.60.2
66.5→66.7
Auto20.5
Teleop39.3
End7.8
Second
4904
#14
25.30.2
25.5→25.3
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8
blue by 14.5
846
#10
39.80.2
35.9→36.1
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End1.7
Third
5924
#17
23.70.2
21.6→21.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End4.3
red by 8.7
6822
#40
15.10.3
10.6→10.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned