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Red140
1052357.2
418624.0
766731.8
Blue177
466923.2
325643.1
397057.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10812080100140160180140177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +13
18Coral scored#25
63Coral points90
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
101Total teleop114
Reef
8L4#13
6L3#6
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#7
30Game pieces#37
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points12
140Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.23.6
44.448.0
Auto11.1
Teleop40.6
End5.5
blue by 0.7
57.83.2
47.150.3
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
Second
7667
#15
31.83.6
28.231.9
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End1.6
blue by 11.4
43.13.2
38.541.7
Auto8.3
Teleop28.7
End6.1
Third
4186
#29
24.03.6
17.320.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End2.9
red by 0.8
4669
#25
23.25.0
18.123.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned