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Red156
758921.0
5940100.5
490425.3
Blue123
1006412.3
1052357.2
763632.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17310050150200250156123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+47Teleop
+57Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points14
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +29
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points50
5Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
30Processor points6
16Net points16
46Algae points22
101Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#9
7L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points24
156Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.51.2
93.394.5
Auto24.9
Teleop65.7
End10.0
red by 43.4
57.20.8
48.048.8
Auto11.1
Teleop40.6
End5.5
Second
4904
#14
25.31.2
25.326.5
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8
blue by 7.0
32.30.5
29.329.8
Auto6.0
Teleop24.5
End1.7
Third
7589
#33
21.01.2
19.921.0
Auto3.0
Teleop17.0
End1.1
red by 8.7
12.30.5
13.514.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed