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Red124
803367.6
570027.8
497319.3
Blue75
88408.6
1028122.1
903840.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135765010015020012475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points25
37Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#7
45Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
69Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
12Foul points6
124Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.60.6
66.766.1
Auto20.5
Teleop39.3
End7.8
red by 27.4
9038
#16
40.11.0
40.139.2
Auto12.7
Teleop25.9
End1.5
Second
5700
#26
27.80.6
28.427.8
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 5.7
22.11.0
21.320.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End2.6
Third
4973
#38
19.30.9
19.718.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
red by 10.7
8840
#37
8.61.0
12.411.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed