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Red106
592423.7
466923.2
84639.8
Blue47
145823.0
425522.1
550741.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911125010015010647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+59Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +62
19Coral scored#6
68Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
86Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
106Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#10
39.81.7
36.137.8
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End1.7
blue by 2.1
5507
#13
41.94.6
43.939.3
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.0
Second
5924
#17
23.71.7
21.423.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End4.3
red by 0.7
1458
#19
23.03.2
25.922.7
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Third
4669
#25
23.22.4
23.125.6
Auto4.9
Teleop16.2
End2.1
red by 1.1
4255
#35
22.14.6
24.920.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed