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Red119
84134.0
84041.4
803367.6
Blue64
325643.1
1006412.3
88408.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1706605010015020025011964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+63Teleop
+61Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
75Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points6
119Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.61.5
66.164.6
Auto20.5
Teleop39.3
End7.8
red by 24.4
43.10.6
41.741.1
Auto8.3
Teleop28.7
End6.1
Second
840
#3
41.41.5
40.539.0
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
red by 29.1
12.30.6
14.013.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Third
841
#24
34.02.2
35.433.2
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
red by 25.4
8840
#37
8.60.8
11.410.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned