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Red106
763632.3
510434.2
758921.0
Blue94
145823.0
476534.6
650614.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978020406012014016010694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
70Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points2
106Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#12
34.20.6
34.234.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.6
End6.7
blue by 0.4
4765
#21
34.61.8
33.435.3
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8
Second
32.30.6
29.830.4
Auto6.0
Teleop24.5
End1.7
red by 9.3
1458
#19
23.01.4
22.724.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Third
7589
#33
21.00.6
21.021.6
Auto3.0
Teleop17.0
End1.1
red by 6.2
6506
#41
14.81.4
15.016.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed