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Red64
570027.8
550741.9
543011.9
Blue64
425522.1
415941.0
128014.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92830501506464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
27Total teleop26
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points18
64Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#13
41.9
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.0
red by 0.9
41.0
Auto10.4
Teleop28.0
End2.6
Second
5700
#26
27.8
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 5.6
4255
#35
22.1
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Third
5430
#36
11.9
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End2.0
blue by 2.7
1280
#27
14.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned