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Red118
84639.8
903840.1
255125.0
Blue134
682215.1
801629.5
1052357.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129120406080100120140160180118134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points14
32Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
18Coral scored#20
64Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
84Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
118Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9038
#16
40.11.8
39.240.9
Auto12.7
Teleop25.9
End1.5
blue by 17.0
57.24.5
48.853.3
Auto11.1
Teleop40.6
End5.5
Second
846
#10
39.81.3
37.839.1
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End1.7
red by 10.3
8016
#28
29.54.5
25.530.0
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8
Third
2551
#31
25.01.8
21.323.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End2.6
red by 9.9
6822
#40
15.14.5
9.313.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed