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Red139
603660.6
418624.0
1039016.3
Blue225
5940100.5
11437.5
84041.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9520250150250300139225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+62
Endgame+80
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +48
21Coral scored#32
74Coral points114
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
12Processor points24
24Net points20
36Algae points44
110Total teleop158
Reef
12L4#12
4L3#13
3L2#7
5L1 · trough#7
32Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
0Foul points6
139Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.61.9
55.657.6
Auto18.1
Teleop41.5
End1.0
blue by 39.9
100.52.1
94.596.6
Auto24.9
Teleop65.7
End10.0
Second
4186
#29
24.02.6
20.423.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End2.9
blue by 17.5
840
#3
41.42.1
39.041.1
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
Third
16.31.9
13.715.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End4.1
blue by 21.2
114
#11
37.52.1
35.037.1
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned