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Red102
397057.8
885911.2
497319.3
Blue114
581740.9
490425.3
885246.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86125050100150200102114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
61Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#6
2L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
102Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.81.4
51.953.2
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
red by 11.3
46.50.1
46.246.2
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End1.8
Second
4973
#38
19.31.8
18.920.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
blue by 21.6
5817
#22
40.90.1
42.242.1
Auto9.9
Teleop28.3
End2.8
Third
8859
#32
11.21.8
10.712.5
Auto2.4
Teleop7.8
End1.0
blue by 14.1
4904
#14
25.30.1
26.526.4
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed