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Red81
572814.6
186829.2
592423.7
Blue59
466923.2
84134.0
766731.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601100501001502008159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+6Teleop
+20Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
44Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#5
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
2Foul points0
81Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#20
29.21.2
28.329.5
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End2.5
blue by 4.8
841
#24
34.03.2
33.230.0
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
Second
5924
#17
23.71.2
23.124.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End4.3
blue by 8.0
7667
#15
31.83.2
35.932.7
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End1.6
Third
5728
#23
14.61.6
10.011.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.0
blue by 8.6
4669
#25
23.23.2
25.622.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed