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Red42
650614.8
801629.5
88408.6
Blue127
84041.4
128014.6
550741.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601145010015042127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+69
Endgame+91
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +55
5Coral scored#17
17Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
23Total teleop78
Reef
2L4#8
1L3#5
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
6Foul points0
42Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8016
#28
29.52.0
30.028.0
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8
blue by 12.4
5507
#13
41.92.9
39.342.2
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.0
Second
6506
#41
14.81.6
16.414.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 26.6
840
#3
41.42.2
41.143.3
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
Third
8840
#37
8.62.0
10.68.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End3.0
blue by 6.0
1280
#27
14.62.2
11.413.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned