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Red82
885246.5
497319.3
145823.0
Blue196
255125.0
397057.8
5940100.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8319905010015025030082196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+98
Endgame+122
Fouls+114
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +80
13Coral scored#25
48Coral points90
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#7
6Processor points24
8Net points28
14Algae points52
62Total teleop142
Reef
7L4#13
3L3#6
3L2#7
1L1 · trough#5
17Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +114
8Foul points0
82Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.4
46.244.8
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End1.8
blue by 54.0
100.51.5
96.698.1
Auto24.9
Teleop65.7
End10.0
Second
1458
#19
23.01.1
24.123.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End1.5
blue by 34.8
57.81.5
53.254.8
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
Third
4973
#38
19.31.4
20.719.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
blue by 5.6
2551
#31
25.01.9
23.125.0
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed74%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned