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Red129
325643.1
415941.0
510434.2
Blue79
490425.3
425522.1
11437.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1338105010015020012979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+50Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +30
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points38
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#4
12Processor points0
20Net points16
32Algae points16
84Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
8Foul points0
129Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.4
42.341.9
Auto8.3
Teleop28.7
End6.1
red by 5.7
114
#11
37.50.9
37.136.2
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
Second
41.00.4
41.841.4
Auto10.4
Teleop28.0
End2.6
red by 15.7
4904
#14
25.30.9
26.425.5
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8
Third
5104
#12
34.20.4
34.834.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.6
End6.7
red by 12.1
4255
#35
22.11.2
20.319.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed