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Red105
581740.9
466923.2
1039016.3
Blue116
1028122.1
763632.3
84134.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89916080100120105116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
61Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
12Foul points2
105Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#22
40.90.7
42.142.8
Auto9.9
Teleop28.3
End2.8
red by 6.9
841
#24
34.02.6
30.032.6
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
Second
4669
#25
23.20.8
22.423.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.2
End2.1
blue by 9.1
32.32.1
30.432.5
Auto6.0
Teleop24.5
End1.7
Third
16.30.7
15.716.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End4.1
blue by 5.8
22.12.6
19.522.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned