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Red103
682215.1
397057.8
128014.6
Blue142
603660.6
572814.6
476534.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86117050100150200103142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+37
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +37
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points64
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#6
6Processor points18
4Net points24
10Algae points42
69Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#9
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#31
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
103Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.81.0
54.855.8
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
blue by 2.8
60.61.7
57.759.4
Auto18.1
Teleop41.5
End1.0
Second
6822
#40
15.11.3
13.815.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
blue by 19.5
4765
#21
34.61.9
34.636.4
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8
Third
1280
#27
14.61.0
13.614.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Level
5728
#23
14.61.9
12.814.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed