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Red129
397057.8
11437.5
145823.0
Blue55
543011.9
803367.6
650614.8
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7710005015020012955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+74Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points3
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +47
15Coral scored#5
54Coral points19
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
12Processor points12
16Net points4
28Algae points16
82Total teleop35
Reef
9L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
129Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.83.9
20.824.8
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
blue by 9.7
67.62.5
64.061.5
Auto20.5
Teleop39.3
End7.8
Second
114
#11
37.54.4
26.030.4
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
red by 22.7
6506
#41
14.82.2
12.610.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Third
1458
#19
23.03.9
23.026.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End1.5
red by 11.1
5430
#36
11.93.7
11.98.2
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned