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Red135
885246.5
325643.1
84134.0
Blue111
186829.2
84639.8
415941.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13411980100160180200135111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
23Coral scored#17
84Coral points61
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
108Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#5
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
135Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.3
46.246.5
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End1.8
red by 5.5
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto10.4
Teleop28.0
End2.6
Second
43.10.3
43.243.4
Auto8.3
Teleop28.7
End6.1
red by 3.3
846
#10
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End1.7
Third
841
#24
34.00.3
34.134.3
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
red by 4.8
1868
#20
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End2.5