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Red97
766731.8
325643.1
84134.0
Blue152
801629.5
11437.5
603660.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117137608010016018020097152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+57
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points37
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +29
14Coral scored#19
50Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
72Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
97Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.3
43.443.1
Auto8.3
Teleop28.7
End6.1
blue by 17.5
60.60.6
59.860.4
Auto18.1
Teleop41.5
End1.0
Second
841
#24
34.00.3
34.334.0
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
blue by 3.5
114
#11
37.50.6
36.737.3
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
Third
7667
#15
31.80.3
32.131.8
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End1.6
red by 2.3
8016
#28
29.50.7
28.629.3
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8