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Red151
801629.5
11437.5
603660.6
Blue116
186829.2
84639.8
415941.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381246080100160180200220151116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+31Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points11
37Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +24
21Coral scored#15
74Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
106Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#5
11L3#5
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points2
151Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.4
59.459.8
Auto18.1
Teleop41.5
End1.0
red by 19.7
41.00.0
41.441.4
Auto10.4
Teleop28.0
End2.6
Second
114
#11
37.50.4
36.236.6
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
blue by 2.3
846
#10
39.80.0
40.240.2
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End1.7
Third
8016
#28
29.50.5
28.028.5
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8
red by 0.3
1868
#20
29.20.0
29.629.6
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End2.5