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Red175
418624.0
397057.8
803367.6
Blue84
490425.3
550741.9
763632.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1691045015020025017584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+65Teleop
+85Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points25
44Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +55
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points34
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
24Processor points6
20Net points4
44Algae points10
99Total teleop44
Reef
10L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#16
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +91
6Foul points0
175Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.60.6
65.566.1
Auto20.5
Teleop39.3
End7.8
red by 25.7
5507
#13
41.90.4
42.241.8
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.0
Second
57.80.6
55.856.4
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
red by 25.6
32.30.4
32.532.2
Auto6.0
Teleop24.5
End1.7
Third
4186
#29
24.00.6
21.722.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End2.9
blue by 1.3
4904
#14
25.30.4
25.525.2
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8