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Red80
84041.4
476534.6
581740.9
Blue181
885246.5
325643.1
84134.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291298010012014016018080181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+77
Endgame+95
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +67
9Coral scored#21
33Coral points76
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
43Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#10
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +101
8Foul points14
80Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#3
41.41.1
43.342.1
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
blue by 5.1
46.51.2
44.846.0
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End1.8
Second
5817
#22
40.91.1
42.841.6
Auto9.9
Teleop28.3
End2.8
blue by 2.2
43.11.1
41.942.9
Auto8.3
Teleop28.7
End6.1
Third
4765
#21
34.61.1
36.435.3
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8
red by 0.6
841
#24
34.01.2
32.633.8
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1