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Red89
570027.8
903840.1
510434.2
Blue93
186829.2
84639.8
415941.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11212660801001201401601808993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
32Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
43Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#7
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points2
89Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9038
#16
40.10.3
40.540.1
Auto12.7
Teleop25.9
End1.5
blue by 0.8
41.00.4
41.441.0
Auto10.4
Teleop28.0
End2.6
Second
5104
#12
34.20.3
34.534.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.6
End6.7
blue by 5.6
846
#10
39.80.4
40.239.8
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End1.7
Third
5700
#26
27.80.3
28.127.8
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End1.8
blue by 1.4
1868
#20
29.20.4
29.629.2
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End2.5