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Red104
490425.3
550741.9
763632.3
Blue124
84041.4
476534.6
581740.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10513350150200104124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
71Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points26
104Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#13
41.90.1
41.841.9
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.0
red by 0.5
840
#3
41.40.5
42.141.7
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
Second
32.30.1
32.232.3
Auto6.0
Teleop24.5
End1.7
blue by 8.7
5817
#22
40.90.5
41.641.2
Auto9.9
Teleop28.3
End2.8
Third
4904
#14
25.30.1
25.225.3
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8
blue by 9.3
4765
#21
34.60.5
35.334.8
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8