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Red208
5940100.5
425522.1
1052357.2
Blue121
801629.5
11437.5
603660.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200130100150250300208121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+51Teleop
+73Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points21
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +30
23Coral scored#16
83Coral points57
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
24Processor points12
12Net points20
36Algae points32
119Total teleop89
Reef
14L4#8
6L3#6
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#27
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +87
14Foul points0
208Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.50.4
98.999.3
Auto24.9
Teleop65.7
End10.0
red by 39.9
60.60.1
59.859.7
Auto18.1
Teleop41.5
End1.0
Second
57.20.5
55.355.8
Auto11.1
Teleop40.6
End5.5
red by 19.7
114
#11
37.50.1
36.636.5
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
Third
4255
#35
22.10.5
20.120.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 7.3
8016
#28
29.50.1
28.528.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8