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Red170
418624.0
397057.8
803367.6
Blue134
885246.5
325643.1
84134.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163129100150200250170134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+44Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave9
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points17
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +19
26Coral scored#20
93Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
113Total teleop94
Reef
12L4#7
12L3#6
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
170Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.60.6
66.166.7
Auto20.5
Teleop39.3
End7.8
red by 21.0
46.50.3
46.046.2
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End1.8
Second
57.80.6
56.457.0
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
red by 14.7
43.10.3
42.943.2
Auto8.3
Teleop28.7
End6.1
Third
4186
#29
24.00.6
22.323.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End2.9
blue by 10.1
841
#24
34.00.3
33.834.1
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1