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Red263
1323108.2
64917.8
594088.1
Blue155
66813.7
304559.9
58174.7
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239151100200250300263155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+74Teleop
+84Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
10Coral scored#6
52Coral points28
55Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +56
36Coral scored#20
130Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
12Processor points6
16Net points24
28Algae points30
158Total teleop102
Reef
15L4#8
10L3#8
9L2#6
12L1 · trough#4
52Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +108
24Foul points0
263Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.20.4
107.8108.2
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
red by 33.5
581
#3
74.70.0
74.774.7
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
Second
88.10.4
87.788.1
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
red by 28.2
59.90.0
59.959.9
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
Third
649
#26
17.80.4
17.417.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End3.6
red by 4.1
668
#30
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7