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Red231
1323108.2
64917.8
594088.1
Blue178
66813.7
304559.9
58174.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239150100200300231178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
9Coral scored#8
43Coral points41
52Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +33
26Coral scored#18
93Coral points64
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
18Processor points18
28Net points24
46Algae points42
139Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#7
15L3#6
9L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
45Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +53
14Foul points2
231Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.20.0
107.9107.8
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
red by 33.5
581
#3
74.70.5
74.274.7
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
Second
88.10.0
87.787.7
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
red by 28.2
59.90.5
59.459.9
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
Third
649
#26
17.80.0
17.517.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End3.6
red by 4.1
668
#30
13.70.5
13.213.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7