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Red173
66813.7
304559.9
58174.7
Blue150
76640.8
623839.4
914331.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16211450100150200173150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+41Teleop
+29Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave3
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points16
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
19Coral scored#15
69Coral points53
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#7
18Processor points18
28Net points28
46Algae points46
115Total teleop99
Reef
11L4#6
8L3#5
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points6
173Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
74.70.6
73.674.2
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
red by 33.9
766
#25
40.80.8
40.040.8
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End5.4
Second
59.90.6
58.859.4
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
red by 20.5
39.40.8
38.639.4
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
668
#30
13.70.6
12.613.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7
blue by 18.1
9143
#14
31.80.8
31.031.8
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8