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Red132
264320.0
661931.9
804844.7
Blue176
76640.8
623839.4
914331.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102118050150200250132176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+8
Endgame+30
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +2
24Coral scored#20
85Coral points73
1Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
6Processor points24
28Net points20
34Algae points44
119Total teleop117
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points14
132Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.8
43.844.7
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
red by 3.9
766
#25
40.81.2
38.840.0
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End5.4
Second
6619
#13
31.90.8
31.031.9
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
blue by 7.5
39.41.2
37.338.6
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
2643
#24
20.00.8
19.220.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
blue by 11.8
9143
#14
31.81.2
29.831.0
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8