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Red241
1323108.2
64917.8
594088.1
Blue147
66813.7
304559.9
58174.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241150100200300241147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
11Coral scored#6
55Coral points31
55Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +38
27Coral scored#18
96Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
130Total teleop92
Reef
16L4#6
8L3#9
10L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +94
30Foul points2
241Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.20.0
107.9107.9
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
red by 33.5
581
#3
74.70.0
73.673.6
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
Second
88.10.0
87.887.7
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
red by 28.2
59.90.0
58.758.8
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
Third
649
#26
17.80.0
17.517.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End3.6
red by 4.1
668
#30
13.70.0
12.612.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7