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Red150
264320.0
661931.9
804844.7
Blue98
681429.6
415931.2
641835.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910805015020025030035015098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+70Teleop
+70Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +67
28Coral scored#13
99Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
129Total teleop62
Reef
10L4#4
9L3#4
6L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points18
150Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.71.3
42.543.8
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
red by 8.9
6418
#11
35.80.5
36.335.8
Auto9.7
Teleop25.6
End0.5
Second
6619
#13
31.91.3
29.731.0
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
red by 0.7
4159
#15
31.20.5
31.631.2
Auto7.5
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Third
2643
#24
20.01.3
17.919.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
blue by 9.6
6814
#27
29.60.5
30.129.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End1.5