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Red86
661931.9
135144.1
1037215.3
Blue134
594088.1
724511.2
388020.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869905015020086134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+44
Endgame+56
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
12Coral scored#16
42Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
60Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
8Foul points0
86Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.9
27.026.1
Auto15.6
Teleop25.8
End2.7
blue by 43.9
88.14.4
50.755.0
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
Second
6619
#13
31.90.9
27.526.6
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
red by 11.2
3880
#18
20.73.2
19.022.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Third
15.30.9
20.719.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
red by 4.1
7245
#36
11.24.4
13.818.2
Auto2.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned