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Red20
490415.6
196734.5
75118.4
Blue72
23674.2
1025210.7
10030.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90740501001502072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+52
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +40
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
0Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points12
20Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#17
34.56.1
26.920.8
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 3.6
100
#10
30.90.5
24.924.5
Auto8.0
Teleop19.8
End3.2
Second
751
#16
18.46.1
30.324.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
red by 7.7
10.70.5
14.814.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Third
4904
#28
15.66.1
17.811.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
red by 11.4
2367
#37
4.20.5
24.524.0
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned