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Red55
66813.7
170011.7
264320.0
Blue219
1323108.2
304559.9
681429.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54138010015020055219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+144
Endgame+166
Fouls+164
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points35
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +116
5Coral scored#28
19Coral points99
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#8
6Processor points18
8Net points32
14Algae points50
33Total teleop149
Reef
4L4#18
2L3#6
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#6
11Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +164
2Foul points0
55Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#24
20.01.6
22.821.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End1.8
blue by 88.2
108.210.2
61.571.7
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
Second
668
#30
13.71.6
16.114.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.7
blue by 46.2
59.96.1
40.947.0
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End4.5
Third
1700
#19
11.71.6
17.115.5
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 17.9
6814
#27
29.610.2
13.623.8
Auto5.6
Teleop22.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned