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Red35
248912.3
605914.8
285426.7
Blue101
87519.9
58174.7
415931.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7511620406010014016018035101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+54
Endgame+68
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +36
4Coral scored#12
16Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
24Total teleop60
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#6
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
2Foul points0
35Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2854
#12
26.74.1
34.430.3
Auto3.5
Teleop20.6
End2.6
blue by 48.0
581
#3
74.70.2
65.265.4
Auto16.3
Teleop48.4
End10.0
Second
6059
#35
14.84.1
13.29.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 16.4
4159
#15
31.20.4
19.820.2
Auto7.5
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Third
2489
#33
12.34.1
21.917.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 2.4
8751
#32
9.90.4
12.412.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned