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Red173
1037215.3
804844.7
594088.1
Blue84
67038.0
64917.8
1005910.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126815010015020017384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+89Teleop
+89Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
33Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +69
21Coral scored#10
74Coral points35
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
24Processor points6
28Net points16
52Algae points22
126Total teleop57
Reef
10L4#3
8L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
0Foul points0
173Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.15.8
55.060.9
Auto20.9
Teleop57.3
End9.8
red by 50.1
670
#5
38.00.6
35.935.3
Auto9.0
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Second
44.73.5
34.538.0
Auto6.3
Teleop37.3
End1.1
red by 26.8
649
#26
17.80.6
26.926.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End3.6
Third
15.35.8
19.725.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
red by 4.6
10.70.6
15.615.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned