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Red118
914331.8
623839.4
641835.8
Blue33
50277.7
23674.2
661931.9
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7972304050609010011011833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+71Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +61
17Coral scored#5
60Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
86Total teleop25
Reef
9L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#8
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
118Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.44.9
23.428.3
Auto5.3
Teleop26.5
End7.6
red by 7.5
6619
#13
31.93.7
26.622.8
Auto3.5
Teleop27.7
End0.7
Second
6418
#11
35.84.9
24.129.0
Auto9.7
Teleop25.6
End0.5
red by 28.1
5027
#31
7.73.7
10.87.1
Auto0.9
Teleop7.3
End-0.5
Third
9143
#14
31.84.9
20.425.3
Auto4.4
Teleop23.5
End3.8
red by 27.6
2367
#37
4.23.7
24.020.3
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed