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Red64
135144.1
724511.2
499018.9
Blue42
490415.6
879327.2
900612.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7857020401001201406442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
43Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points2
64Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.8
26.125.3
Auto15.6
Teleop25.8
End2.7
red by 16.9
27.21.3
22.120.8
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End3.7
Second
4990
#21
18.90.8
20.820.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 3.4
4904
#28
15.61.3
11.710.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Third
7245
#36
11.20.8
18.217.4
Auto2.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
blue by 0.8
9006
#20
12.01.3
18.016.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed