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Red181
1064415.1
388020.7
1323108.2
Blue97
76640.8
10030.9
87519.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1286705010015020025018197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+78Teleop
+76Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points7
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +54
22Coral scored#15
80Coral points54
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
122Total teleop68
Reef
12L4#7
9L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
8Foul points0
181Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.26.1
71.777.8
Auto25.1
Teleop73.4
End9.7
red by 67.4
766
#25
40.82.1
26.428.5
Auto5.1
Teleop30.3
End5.4
Second
3880
#18
20.74.1
22.226.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.4
End1.6
blue by 10.2
100
#10
30.92.1
24.526.6
Auto8.0
Teleop19.8
End3.2
Third
15.16.1
10.616.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.9
red by 5.1
8751
#32
9.92.1
12.814.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned